Dış Ticaret Dengesi Cari İşlemler Dengesi Büyüme Zaman Serileri En Küçük Kareler Yöntemi
The study aims to examine the effects of foreign trade and current account balance on economic growth for 1984-2016 period. As a result of the least squares method and regression analysis for the period, it is determined that both foreign trade and current account balance have negative effects on the growth rate. According to the least squares method 31% of the changes in growth are explained by current account balance and 39% are explained by the balance of foreign trade. According to the model with dummy variable that is included in order to reveal the impacts of economic and social events while 43% of the changes in growth are explained by current account balance, 50% are explained by foreign trade balance. Three models are estimated in the study. In order to measure the impact of economic and social events, a dummy variable is added, and the fourth model is estimated. In conclusion, it is found that for sustainable growth to be attained with current account surplus or lower current account deficit, domestic savings need to be increased.
Foreign Trade Balance Current Account Balance Growth Time Series Least Squares Method
Birincil Dil | Türkçe |
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Konular | Ekonomi |
Bölüm | Araştırma Makaleleri |
Yazarlar | |
Yayımlanma Tarihi | 30 Eylül 2020 |
Gönderilme Tarihi | 9 Aralık 2019 |
Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2020 Cilt: 11 Sayı: 28 |