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COVID-19’UN SÜRÜ DAVRANIŞI ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: GELİŞMEKTE OLAN AFRİKA ÜLKELERİ ÖRNEĞİ

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 3, 692 - 699, 09.10.2023

Ömer Faruk Tan

https://doi.org/10.29106/fesa.1286673

Öz

Tüm dünyayı etkisi altına alan Koronavirüs Hastalığının (COVID-19) ortaya çıkmasıyla finansal piyasalar üzerinde de şok etkisi yaratmıştır. Korku ve paniğe kapılan yatırımcılar rasyonel bir karar verememiştir ve diğer yatırımcıların almış oldukları kararları taklit etmeye çalışmışlardır. Etkin piyasalar hipotezinden farklı olarak yatırımcılar bu süreçte sürü davranışı göstermiştir. Bu nedenle, bu makale COVID-19’un gelişmekte olan Afrika pazarlarında sürü davranışını artırıp artırmadığını araştırmaktadır. Çalışmada Johannesburg ve Mısır Borsaları 04 Ocak 2010- 30 Haziran 2020 yılları arasında örneklem olarak kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre COVID-19 döneminde güçlü bir sürü davranış görüldüğü ortaya çıkmıştır. Farklı alt periyotlarda da bulduğumuz sonuç doğrulanmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucu, bireysel ve kurumsal yatırımcıların yanı sıra finansal düzenleyicilerin sürü davranışını önlemeye yönelik bir çözüm bulmasına yardımcı olması açısından önemlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19 Sürü Davranışı Güney Afrika Mısır

Kaynakça

  • AKHTARUZZAMAN, M., BOUBAKER, S. and SENSOY, A. (2020). Financial Contagion during COVID–19 Crisis. Finance Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101604
  • ALI, M., ALAM, N. and RIZVI, S. A. R. (2020). Coronavirus (COVID-19) - An Epidemic or Pandemic for Financial Markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100341
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020a). Economic Impact of Government Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic: International Evidence from Financial Markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020b). Stock Markets’ Reaction to COVID-19: Cases or Fatalities? Research in International Business and Finance, 54, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020c). Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Moderating Role of National Culture. Finance Research Letters, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101857
  • BAIG, A. S., BUTT, H. A., HAROON, O. and RIZVI, S. A. R. (2020). Deaths, Panic, Lockdowns and US Equity Markets: The Case of COVID-19 Pandemic. Finance Research Letters, (July). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101701
  • BHARTI, and KUMAR, A. (2022). Exploring Herding Behaviour in Indian Equity Market during COVID-19 Pandemic: Impact of Volatility and Government Response. Millennial Asia, 13(3), 513–531. https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211020687
  • BOGDAN, S., SUŠTAR, N. and DRAŽENOVIĆ, B. O. (2022). Herding Behavior in Developed, Emerging, and Frontier European Stock Markets during COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15090400
  • CEPOI, C. O. (2020). Asymmetric Dependence between Stock Market Returns and News during COVID-19 Financial Turmoil. Finance Research Letters, 36, 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101658
  • CHANG, C. L., MCALEER, M. and WANG, Y. A. (2020). Herding Behaviour in Energy Stock Markets during the Global Financial Crisis, SARS, and ongoing COVID-19. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 134, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110349
  • CHANG, E. C., CHENG, J. W. and KHORANA, A. (2000). An Examination of Herd Behavior in Equity Markets: An International Perspective. Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5
  • CHIANG, T. C. and ZHENG, D. (2010). An Empirical Analysis of Herd Behavior in Global Stock Markets. Journal of Banking and Finance, 34, 1911–1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014
  • CHRISTIE, W. G. and HUANG, R. D. (1995). Following the Pied Piper: Do Individual Returns Herd around the Market? Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31–37.
  • DHALL, R. and SINGH, B. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic and herding behaviour: Evidence from India’s stock market. Millennial Asia, 11(3), 366–390. https://doi.org/10.1177/0976399620964635
  • ECONOMOU, F., KATSIKAS, E. and VICKERS, G. (2016). Testing for herding in the Athens Stock Exchange during the crisis period. Finance Research Letters, 18, 334–341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2016.05.011
  • ERDOGAN, H. H. (2021). Beta Herding in the Covid-19 Era: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul. Business and Economics Research Journal, 12(2), 359–368. https://doi.org/10.20409/berj.2021.326
  • ESPINOSA-MÉNDEZ, C. and ARIAS, J. (2021a). COVID-19 effect on herding behaviour in European capital markets. Finance Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101787
  • ESPINOSA-MÉNDEZ, C. and ARIAS, J. (2021b). Herding behaviour in Australian stock market: Evidence on COVID-19 effect. Applied Economics Letters. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659
  • FANG, H., CHUNG, C. P., LEE, Y. H. and YANG, X. (2021). The effect of COVID-19 on herding behavior in Eastern European stock markets. Frontiers in Public Health, 9(July), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.695931
  • GUNEY, Y., KALLINTERAKIS, V. and KOMBA, G. (2017). Herding in frontier markets: Evidence from African stock exchanges. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 47, 152–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2016.11.001
  • JIANG, R., WEN, C., ZHANG, R. and CUI, Y. (2022). Investor’s herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 73, 101771. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101771
  • KIZYS, R., TZOUVANAS, P. and DONADELLI, M. (2021). From COVID-19 herd immunity to investor herding in international stock markets: The role of government and regulatory restrictions. International Review of Financial Analysis, 74(December 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101663
  • KURZ, C. and KURZ-KIM, J. R. (2013). What determines the dynamics of absolute excess returns on stock markets? Economics Letters, 118(2), 342–346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.11.029
  • MOBAREK, A., MOLLAH, S. and KEASEY, K. (2014). A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 32(1), 107–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.05.008
  • SHILLER, R. J. (1987). Investor behavior in the October 1987 stock market crash: Survey evidence (NBER Working Paper, w2446.
  • SHLEIFER, A. and SUMMERS, L. H. (1990). The noise trader approach to finance. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(2), 19–33.
  • SUMMERS, L. H. (1986). Does the stock market rationally reflect fundamental values? Journal of Finance, 41(3), 591–601.
  • TAN, O. F. (2021). The Impact of news on Borsa Istanbul during COVID-19 financial turmoil. Türkiye İletişim Araştırmaları Dergisi/26306220, 37, 109–124. https://doi.org/10.17829/turcom.859299
  • TAN, L., CHIANG, T. C., MASON, J. R. and NELLING, E. (2008). Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: An examination of A and B shares. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 16, 61–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2007.04.004
  • WAGNER, A. F. (2020). What the stock market tells us about the post-COVID-19 world. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(5), 440–440. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0869
  • WEN, C., YANG, Z., & JIANG, R. (2022). Herding Behavior in Hong Kong Stock Market during the COVID-19 Period: A Systematic Detection Approach. Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 20(2), 159–170. https://doi.org/10.1080/14765284.2021.1948320
  • WU, G., YANG, B. and ZHAO, N. (2020). Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets during COVID-19. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(15), 3578–3587. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1855138
  • YALÇIN, D. and AYBARS, A. (2022). Testing for herding behavior in Borsa Istanbul during the COVID-19 pandemic. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Dergisi, 44(1), 36–52. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.1135455
  • ZHANG, D., HU, M. and JI, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36(March). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528

THE EFFECT OF COVID-19 ON HERDING BEHAVIOR: EVIDENCE FROM AFRICAN EMERGING MARKETS

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 3, 692 - 699, 09.10.2023

Ömer Faruk Tan

https://doi.org/10.29106/fesa.1286673

Öz

The emergence of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic, which spread all over the world, created a shock effect on financial markets as in all areas. With fear and panic, investors couldn’t make rational decisions and tried to imitate what other investors were doing. Unlike the idea of the efficient market hypothesis, investors showed herd behavior during the emergence of the pandemic. Hence, this paper investigates whether COVID-19 increased herding behavior in African emerging markets. We use a sample from the Johannesburg Stock Exchanges (JSE) and the Egyptian Exchange (EGX) for the period from January 4, 2010, to June 30, 2020. We find strong evidence of the presence of herding behavior in both stock markets during the COVID-19 period. Robust results are found in different sub-periods. The result of the study is important to help individual and institutional investors as well as financial regulators to find a solution to prevent herd behavior.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19 Herding Behavior South Africa Egypt

Kaynakça

  • AKHTARUZZAMAN, M., BOUBAKER, S. and SENSOY, A. (2020). Financial Contagion during COVID–19 Crisis. Finance Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101604
  • ALI, M., ALAM, N. and RIZVI, S. A. R. (2020). Coronavirus (COVID-19) - An Epidemic or Pandemic for Financial Markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100341
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020a). Economic Impact of Government Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic: International Evidence from Financial Markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020b). Stock Markets’ Reaction to COVID-19: Cases or Fatalities? Research in International Business and Finance, 54, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249
  • ASHRAF, B. N. (2020c). Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Moderating Role of National Culture. Finance Research Letters, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101857
  • BAIG, A. S., BUTT, H. A., HAROON, O. and RIZVI, S. A. R. (2020). Deaths, Panic, Lockdowns and US Equity Markets: The Case of COVID-19 Pandemic. Finance Research Letters, (July). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101701
  • BHARTI, and KUMAR, A. (2022). Exploring Herding Behaviour in Indian Equity Market during COVID-19 Pandemic: Impact of Volatility and Government Response. Millennial Asia, 13(3), 513–531. https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211020687
  • BOGDAN, S., SUŠTAR, N. and DRAŽENOVIĆ, B. O. (2022). Herding Behavior in Developed, Emerging, and Frontier European Stock Markets during COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15090400
  • CEPOI, C. O. (2020). Asymmetric Dependence between Stock Market Returns and News during COVID-19 Financial Turmoil. Finance Research Letters, 36, 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101658
  • CHANG, C. L., MCALEER, M. and WANG, Y. A. (2020). Herding Behaviour in Energy Stock Markets during the Global Financial Crisis, SARS, and ongoing COVID-19. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 134, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110349
  • CHANG, E. C., CHENG, J. W. and KHORANA, A. (2000). An Examination of Herd Behavior in Equity Markets: An International Perspective. Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5
  • CHIANG, T. C. and ZHENG, D. (2010). An Empirical Analysis of Herd Behavior in Global Stock Markets. Journal of Banking and Finance, 34, 1911–1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014
  • CHRISTIE, W. G. and HUANG, R. D. (1995). Following the Pied Piper: Do Individual Returns Herd around the Market? Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31–37.
  • DHALL, R. and SINGH, B. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic and herding behaviour: Evidence from India’s stock market. Millennial Asia, 11(3), 366–390. https://doi.org/10.1177/0976399620964635
  • ECONOMOU, F., KATSIKAS, E. and VICKERS, G. (2016). Testing for herding in the Athens Stock Exchange during the crisis period. Finance Research Letters, 18, 334–341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2016.05.011
  • ERDOGAN, H. H. (2021). Beta Herding in the Covid-19 Era: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul. Business and Economics Research Journal, 12(2), 359–368. https://doi.org/10.20409/berj.2021.326
  • ESPINOSA-MÉNDEZ, C. and ARIAS, J. (2021a). COVID-19 effect on herding behaviour in European capital markets. Finance Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101787
  • ESPINOSA-MÉNDEZ, C. and ARIAS, J. (2021b). Herding behaviour in Australian stock market: Evidence on COVID-19 effect. Applied Economics Letters. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1854659
  • FANG, H., CHUNG, C. P., LEE, Y. H. and YANG, X. (2021). The effect of COVID-19 on herding behavior in Eastern European stock markets. Frontiers in Public Health, 9(July), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.695931
  • GUNEY, Y., KALLINTERAKIS, V. and KOMBA, G. (2017). Herding in frontier markets: Evidence from African stock exchanges. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 47, 152–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2016.11.001
  • JIANG, R., WEN, C., ZHANG, R. and CUI, Y. (2022). Investor’s herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 73, 101771. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101771
  • KIZYS, R., TZOUVANAS, P. and DONADELLI, M. (2021). From COVID-19 herd immunity to investor herding in international stock markets: The role of government and regulatory restrictions. International Review of Financial Analysis, 74(December 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101663
  • KURZ, C. and KURZ-KIM, J. R. (2013). What determines the dynamics of absolute excess returns on stock markets? Economics Letters, 118(2), 342–346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.11.029
  • MOBAREK, A., MOLLAH, S. and KEASEY, K. (2014). A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 32(1), 107–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.05.008
  • SHILLER, R. J. (1987). Investor behavior in the October 1987 stock market crash: Survey evidence (NBER Working Paper, w2446.
  • SHLEIFER, A. and SUMMERS, L. H. (1990). The noise trader approach to finance. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(2), 19–33.
  • SUMMERS, L. H. (1986). Does the stock market rationally reflect fundamental values? Journal of Finance, 41(3), 591–601.
  • TAN, O. F. (2021). The Impact of news on Borsa Istanbul during COVID-19 financial turmoil. Türkiye İletişim Araştırmaları Dergisi/26306220, 37, 109–124. https://doi.org/10.17829/turcom.859299
  • TAN, L., CHIANG, T. C., MASON, J. R. and NELLING, E. (2008). Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: An examination of A and B shares. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 16, 61–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2007.04.004
  • WAGNER, A. F. (2020). What the stock market tells us about the post-COVID-19 world. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(5), 440–440. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0869
  • WEN, C., YANG, Z., & JIANG, R. (2022). Herding Behavior in Hong Kong Stock Market during the COVID-19 Period: A Systematic Detection Approach. Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 20(2), 159–170. https://doi.org/10.1080/14765284.2021.1948320
  • WU, G., YANG, B. and ZHAO, N. (2020). Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets during COVID-19. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(15), 3578–3587. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1855138
  • YALÇIN, D. and AYBARS, A. (2022). Testing for herding behavior in Borsa Istanbul during the COVID-19 pandemic. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Dergisi, 44(1), 36–52. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.1135455
  • ZHANG, D., HU, M. and JI, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36(March). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528
Toplam 34 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Finans
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Ömer Faruk Tan 0000-0002-8875-4696

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 30 Eylül 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 9 Ekim 2023
Gönderilme Tarihi 23 Nisan 2023
Kabul Tarihi 5 Eylül 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Tan, Ö. F. (2023). THE EFFECT OF COVID-19 ON HERDING BEHAVIOR: EVIDENCE FROM AFRICAN EMERGING MARKETS. Finans Ekonomi Ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 8(3), 692-699. https://doi.org/10.29106/fesa.1286673
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